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Decision Making Archives - Ideas for Leaders

The Cost of Decision Fatigue

Repeatedly making decisions for extended periods of time is mentally taxing and leads to what psychologists call ‘decision fatigue’. As a result, the decision makers will revert to default decisions—decisions that require the least amount of mental work. For example, one study showed that judges tended to refuse parole at a greater rate during periods […]

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Typical Air Quality in Offices Hurts Cognitive Function

Over a period of six days, a team of researchers recreated a variety of air quality conditions, and simultaneously conducted cognitive tests of volunteers under the various conditions to determine whether poor or even average air quality impacts our cognitive abilities. Manipulating in a laboratory setting the amount of airborne Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs), which […]

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Algorithms and Statistical Models Vs Human Judgement

Decades of research have shown that algorithms (defined here as any evidence-based forecasting formula, including statistical models) are more accurate than forecasts made by humans. However, research has also shown that most people have greater confidence in their ability to make forecasts rather than leaving it to mathematical formulae — an attitude known as ‘algorithm […]

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How Testosterone Leads to Overpricing on Wall Street

Enthusiasm for your job is usually an asset. However, new research reveals that on Wall Street, such enthusiasm may backfire as the rush of winning triggers physiological changes that undermine rational thinking and decision-making. Specifically, the research studies the impact of increased testosterone levels on the buy-and-sell decisions of 140 traders taking part in a […]

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Bad Luck Doesn’t Just Happen: The Case of the Costa Concordia

Despite its best intentions, a company may have structures and processes in place that allows it to construct its own misfortune. This is organizational ‘zemblanity’, a term coined by writer William Boyd. Zemblanity is the antonym of serendipity, which, in an organizational context, occurs when an organization purposefully puts itself in position to take advantage […]

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